Verified forward forecast
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers
0ca1670d-f63b-4399-b866-da232f031572
Forecast
Sep 26, 2026, 3:18 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 27, 2026, 12:10 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
57.9%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 7 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- MLB Win the Game 2 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- 1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
- Definition hash
- 9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 1.17500126481881
- Transformed
- 1.17500126481881
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- 0.117500126481881
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 5
- Transformed
- 5
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 1
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 1
- Transformed
- 1
- Weight
- 0.4
- Contribution
- 0.4
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- record
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -2.42985593531016
- Transformed
- -2.42985593531016
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- -0.242985593531016
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- 0.0271707793746384
- Transformed
- 0.0271707793746384
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 0.00543415587492768
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 27, 2026, 3:17 PM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Loss
- Scores
- 4-2
- Correction
- —