Verified forward forecast
Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres
04816bed-b236-488b-ba1c-c2466bd95a16
Forecast
Sep 29, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 29, 2026, 7:00 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
59.1%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 11 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- MLB Win the Game 2 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- 1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
- Definition hash
- 9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 2.31793903197216
- Transformed
- 2.31793903197216
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- 0.23179390319721602
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 5
- Transformed
- 5
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 1
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 1
- Transformed
- 1
- Weight
- 0.4
- Contribution
- 0.4
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- record
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -1.48835973575799
- Transformed
- -1.48835973575799
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- -0.148835973575799
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- -0.0681181208453142
- Transformed
- -0.0681181208453142
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -0.013623624169062841
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 30, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Win
- Scores
- 0-8
- Correction
- —